Wu Hui, the new energy director of CCID Consulting, said in an interview recently that it is expected that the sales of new energy vehicles in the fourth quarter will be twice that of the third quarter. At least 500,000 new energy sales this year, optimistic will reach 55-60. Ten thousand cars. Wu Hui said that in the second quarter of 2016, battery shipments were 6.4Gwh, down 26.4% from the previous quarter. In addition to the factors released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in April, the government’s new energy vehicle subsidies were also delayed. New energy vehicle orders have decreased, and battery company shipments have been affected. The market generally expects explosive growth in the second half of the year. In order to avoid the shortage of batteries in the second half of the year, some battery companies have already made some battery inventories in the second quarter. Wu Hui pointed out that batteries and materials will maintain an average annual decline of 5-10%. It is not excluded that the price of the low-end market will fall faster. The decline in personal price is more conducive to the popularization of new energy vehicles. Car companies are gradually extending to the industrial chain such as batteries and battery packs, and the integration trend of the industry chain is obvious. Not only BYD, Beiqi, Geely and other companies have begun to choose their own batteries and battery packs. It is expected that in the next five years, the growth of new energy vehicles will mainly come from special vehicles and passenger vehicles. Since 2016, domestic new energy passenger car models will increase rapidly. According to forecasts, the lithium battery market in 2016 will be 111.5 billion yuan, and the demand for power lithium batteries will be 60.5 billion yuan, up 65.8% year-on-year. In 2020, the capacity of new energy vehicles will reach 5.8 million units. At present, there are nearly 200 new energy vehicle manufacturers in China. In view of the future development prospects, not only are more independent auto companies and joint ventures accelerating the layout of new energy vehicles, but some Internet companies and parts companies are also entering the ranks of vehicles. LeTV accelerated the process of cross-border electric vehicles . LeTV founder Jia Yueting recently announced that LeTV has completed $1.08 billion in financing. Weimar Automobile also recently received the first round of financing of US$1 billion. The founder of Weimar Automobile, Shen Huizhi, launched the first electric vehicle in 2018. After the industry has passed the cross-border of the apparel industry to the lithium battery industry, it will also be able to devote itself to the car boom. As the first batch of domestically entered new energy vehicles, Shanshan is in the next big game. Its lead investment of 500 million yuan has been established by Spruce Wisdom New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Syros Wisdom"), marching into the new The integrated operation of energy vehicles and charging infrastructure will continue to invest in the next few years. At present, Shanshan has become the world's largest integrated supplier of lithium battery materials, entering the supply chain of companies such as Mercedes-Benz, Tesla and Panasonic. Regarding the future strategic layout, Xu Zhengpeng, vice president of Shanshan and vice president of spruce wisdom, said in an interview with the First Financial News reporter that Spruce Wisdom mainly focuses on the post-marketing and charging infrastructure of new energy vehicles. The goal is to operate 3,500 new energy vehicles and 10,000 standard charging piles nationwide. Now it has invested nearly 2000 electric commuter and electric passenger vehicles and 3,000 charging piles. Through the market strategy of car pile synergy, spruce The smart integrated business is close to breaking even. However, Xu Zhengpeng also said that the new energy automobile industry chain is very long, and there are still many weak links in the middle. Whether it is charging pile operation or new energy vehicle leasing, it is indeed difficult to expand at this stage, but the spruce wisdom is What we have to do is to overcome the difficulties and pain points of the industry. The "hard bones" in the early stage must be smashed. At present, about 90% of charging pile operators are at a loss. Xu Zhengpeng pointed out that some enterprises that seek government investment and seek to invest in the construction of charging piles in the immediate interest have a price competition disorder and there is no clear business model in the future. It is difficult to go far. At present, the usage rate of public charging piles is generally less than 5%. In addition, the maintenance cost after charging piles are put into operation is high, and a large number of charging pile operating enterprises will be eliminated in the future. Xu Zhengpeng admits that as the first batch of new energy charging facilities in Shenzhen, the spruce wisdom of the operation qualification is still not profitable in the charging facilities sector. However, as the new energy vehicle operation support, in the future, with the increasing number of new energy vehicles, The charging facilities operation segment will gradually realize profitability. Xu Zhengpeng also said that Spruce Wisdom is exploring the integration of new energy vehicles in the post-market industrial chain. On the one hand, it has accumulated key technologies to carry out research on new energy vehicle parts and charging piles for batteries, motors, electric controls, etc. And the technical support for the integrated operation of the charging infrastructure, and even the latter can be involved in the research and development of vehicles. On the other hand, it is to seize the scarce resources such as charging facilities and time-sharing lease operations, and enter charging infrastructure operations, new energy vehicle operations, and new energy vehicles. In the areas of critical component repair and automotive financial services, we are looking to become a total solution provider for urban-level new energy vehicles and charging infrastructure, achieving profitability within three years. He is optimistic about the market space for new energy vehicles. Liu Ying, dean of the China Automotive Industry Research Institute Beijing Branch, said that in the future, the new energy vehicle market will not only be a billion-dollar market, but also a trillion-dollar market.
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